{"id":2643,"date":"2025-06-30T11:48:11","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T11:48:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/?p=2643"},"modified":"2025-07-01T09:35:27","modified_gmt":"2025-07-01T09:35:27","slug":"impress-july-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/impress-july-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Impress July 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><b>\ud83d\udcc9 July Forecast: Markets Enter a Cooling Phase<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After a phase of relative stabilization in June, the recovered paper market now appears to be entering a cooling phase. The July forecast shows a general softening across all major grades, with downward movements in both contract and spot pricing. This shift suggests the market is recalibrating after months of strong demand and tight supply. As the summer progresses, stakeholders are bracing for more moderate activity, with buyers reassessing their inventories and mills cautiously adjusting production.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\ud83d\udcca <\/span><b>OCC (1.04 \u2013 Kaufhaus\/90\/10)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: Contract pricing drops from \u20ac198.97 in June to <\/span><b>\u20ac170.00<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, with spot pricing down from \u20ac159.00 to <\/span><b>\u20ac140.00<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-2644 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1-1-300x225.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1-1-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1-1-16x12.png 16w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1-1.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\ud83d\udce6 <\/span><b>Mixed Paper (1.02)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: Contracts fall from \u20ac180.69 to <\/span><b>\u20ac150.00<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and spot prices from \u20ac140.00 to <\/span><b>\u20ac125.00<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. After a strong spring, the market is clearly recalibrating.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-2646 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/3-1-300x225.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/3-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/3-1-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/3-1-16x12.png 16w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/3-1.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\ud83c\udf0d <\/span><b>Export OCC 95\/5 to India<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: Sees a minor recovery to <\/span><b>$180.00<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> after slipping to $175.00 in June, pointing to cautious optimism abroad.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-2645 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2-1-300x225.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2-1-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2-1-16x12.png 16w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2-1.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These movements reflect a market returning to balance, though the duration of this calm remains uncertain.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>\ud83c\udf10 Currency Shift: Dollar Weakens Despite Global Tensions<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Contrary to past patterns, geopolitical unrest hasn\u2019t strengthened the U.S. dollar in 2025. In fact, the dollar has lost ground to the euro, due in part to market uncertainty driven by Trump\u2019s confrontational trade rhetoric and inconsistent policy direction.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\ud83e\udded The <\/span><b>DXY index<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has fallen to a multi-year low, and the <\/span><b>USD\/EUR<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> rate nears 1.17. Analysts suggest this may mark a turning point in the global currency order (<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/finance\/dollar-question-hovers-over-top-central-bankers-meeting-sintra-2025-06-30\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Reuters<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">,<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.euwid-recycling.com\/topic\/recovered-paper\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EUWID<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A weaker dollar benefits European importers and might shift global purchasing dynamics in the months ahead.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>\ud83c\udfed B-Grade Dilemma: To Pause or To Dump?<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The market for B-grade fluting and testliner is in flux. With custom demand lagging, mills are producing generic stock to keep machines running.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\ud83c\udfd7\ufe0f The result: mounting inventory. Now, mills face a tough call halt production or dump material into export markets. Quiet deals and discounted shipments suggest that dumping is becoming the preferred route.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Q3 could see significant pressure on pricing and market structure if this trend accelerates.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>\ud83d\udee1\ufe0f NATO Summit in The Hague: Symbolism vs. Substance<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The \u20ac180 million NATO summit turned The Hague into a temporary fortress. While the event underscored unity amid global instability, many residents found themselves displaced from their own neighborhoods.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\ud83c\udf0d In today\u2019s geopolitical climate, such high-profile gatherings may be necessary, but the cost, both fiscal and social, invites reflection. Is this the new normal, or will diplomacy soon return to calmer waters?<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>\ud83d\udd0d July Takeaways<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The recovered paper market is entering a new phase marked by falling prices, hesitant buyers, and shifting global dynamics. Prices for OCC and Mixed Paper have declined significantly, confirming a broad market correction after months of intense activity. While export OCC to India shows a modest rebound, it&#8217;s still too early to call this a trend reversal. Demand abroad remains cautious.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-2655 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/July-1-300x225.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/July-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/July-1-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/July-1-16x12.png 16w, https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/July-1.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In currency markets, the weakening U.S. dollar is notable. This shift provides a relative advantage to European buyers, who may now find imported materials more cost-effective. However, it also signals deeper concerns about global economic stability.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meanwhile, B-grade inventories are piling up. With little custom demand, mills are facing difficult choices: either slow down production or push excess volume into export markets often at steep discounts. This behavior may lead to an unstable third quarter if not managed strategically.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Finally, the recent NATO summit in The Hague, while symbolic of unity, was also a reminder of the geopolitical tensions shaping our industry\u2019s operating environment. Infrastructure disruptions, security measures, and policy uncertainty all contribute to a sense of unpredictability.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As we move further into Q3, staying agile and well-informed is more important than ever. IMtrade continues to monitor the landscape closely and will provide timely insights in the months ahead.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Follow IMtrade for timely updates and expert analysis. Missed last month\u2019s IMpres<span style=\"color: #000000;\">s?<\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/impress-june-2025\/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Catch up here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83d\udcc9 July Forecast: Markets Enter a Cooling Phase After a phase of relative stabilization in June, the recovered paper market now appears to be entering a cooling phase. The July forecast shows a general softening across all major grades, with downward movements in both contract and spot pricing. This shift suggests the market is recalibrating [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2646,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2643","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nieuws"],"acf":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/3-1.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2643","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2643"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2643\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2656,"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2643\/revisions\/2656"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2646"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2643"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2643"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imtrade.nl\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2643"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}